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Strategic asset allocation by mixing shrinkage,vine copula and market equilibrium
Authors:Fan Zhang  Zhichao Zhang
Institution:1. Liverpool Business School, Liverpool John Moores University, Liverpool, UK;2. Durham University Business School, Durham, UK
Abstract:We propose a new portfolio optimization method combining the merits of the shrinkage estimation, vine copula structure, and Black–Litterman model. It is useful for many investors to satisfy simultaneously the three investment objectives: estimation sensitivity, asymmetric risks appreciation, and portfolio stability. A typical investor with such objectives is a sovereign wealth fund (SWF). We use China's SWF as an example to empirically test the method based on a 15‐asset strategic asset allocation problem. Robustness tests using subsamples not only show the method's overall effectiveness but also manifest that the function of each component is as expected.
Keywords:asymmetric risk  Bayesian forecast  estimation risk  portfolio management  views blending
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