| 基于突变级数法与情景分析法的广西CO_2减排研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 蒙瑞海. 基于突变级数法与情景分析法的广西CO_2减排研究[J]. 沈阳大学学报：自然科学版, 2012, 24(6): 11-18 |
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| 作者姓名： | 蒙瑞海 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西师范大学经济管理学院,广西桂林,541006 |
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| 摘 要： | 依据广西1978—2009年CO2排放的相关指标数据,采用突变级数法对广西1978—2009年CO2减排作出了相关分析评价.在此基础上,运用情景分析法预测不同情景下广西2015年CO2排放,分析不同情景选择对广西CO2排放的影响,以期为广西开展CO2减排提出合理化建议.
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| 关 键 词： | CO2减排 可持续发展 突变级数法 情景分析法 |
On Guangxi's CO_2 Abatement by Using Catastrophe Progression Method and Scenario Analysis Method |
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| MENG Ruihai. On Guangxi's CO_2 Abatement by Using Catastrophe Progression Method and Scenario Analysis Method[J]. Journal of Shenyang University, 2012, 24(6): 11-18 |
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| Authors: | MENG Ruihai |
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| Affiliation: | MENG Ruihai(School of Economics & Management,Guangxi Normal University,Guilin 541006,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on related indices from the year 1978 to 2009,using catastrophe progression method,Guangxi＇s CO2 emissions are analyzed and evaluated.By using scenario analysis method,the impact of different scenarios on Guangxi＇s CO2 emissions is analyzed,and Guangxi＇s CO2 emissions of year 2015 are forecasted under different scenarios,in order to make reasonable suggestions for Guangxi＇s CO2 abatement. |
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| Keywords: | CO2 abatement sustainable development catastrophe progression method scenario analysis method |
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