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季节模型在海西州地区慢性支气管炎发病情况中的应用
引用本文:马亮亮,田富鹏.季节模型在海西州地区慢性支气管炎发病情况中的应用[J].沈阳大学学报,2009,21(6):20-22.
作者姓名:马亮亮  田富鹏
作者单位:西北民族大学,计算机科学与信息工程学院,甘肃,兰州,730030
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目 
摘    要:基于季节模型的理论,通过建立不同的数学模型研究每月支气管炎发病人数.通过EViews软件对青海海西州地区支气管炎发病例监测登记资料进行统计分析,并对原数据进行季节调整,剔除季节波动,排除了季节因素的干扰,同时利用不同的数学模型对原数据进行预测,观察每月支气管炎发病人数的发展趋势.

关 键 词:季节模型  支气管炎  EViews

Application of Season Model Based on Bronchitis Situation in Haixizhou Region
MA Liangliang,TIAN Fupeng.Application of Season Model Based on Bronchitis Situation in Haixizhou Region[J].Journal of Shenyang University,2009,21(6):20-22.
Authors:MA Liangliang  TIAN Fupeng
Institution:(School of Computer Science and Information Engineering, Lanzhou 730030, China)
Abstract:Based on the theory of season model, different mathematic models were established to study the number of bronchitis each month. Statistical analysis on the registration cases of bronchitis situation in Haixizhou region of Qinghai Province was done by EViews software. The original data were adjusted, excluding seasonal fluctuations and the interference of seasonal factors. Different mathematic models were used to predict the originate number and observe the development trend of bronchitis' number each month.
Keywords:Eviews
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