Impact of climate change on streamflow in the Xitiaoxi catchment, Taihu Basin |
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Authors: | Liu Liu Zongxue Xu Junxiong Huang |
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Institution: | 1. College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University/Key Laboratory of Water and Sediment Sciences, Ministry of Education, Beijing, 100875, China 2. Beijing Hydraulic Research Institute, Beijing, 100048, China
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Abstract: | The impact of climate change on streamflow in the Xitiaoxi catchment is assessed by using VIC (variable infiltration capacity)
model coupled with PRECIS (providing regional climate for impacts studies). Results show that the VIC model is adaptable for
the study area. Both deterministic coefficient and Nash-Suttcliffe efficiency coefficient are greater than 0.75, with a good
agreement between observed and simulated discharge. The runoff will increase in the future, especially during flood seasons.
The magnitude of floods in the future (2021–2050) under A2 and B2 scenarios will be greater than that during the baseline
period (1961–1990), but it may not exceed that during the 1990s. |
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Keywords: | |
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