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The Forecast and Regional Analysis of the Private Motor Vehicle Market in China
作者姓名:FANG Bi\|qi  \ ZHOU Yong  \ SUN Liu\|quan Institute of Applied Mathematics  Academia Sinica  Beijing  China
作者单位:FANG Bi\|qi,\ ZHOU Yong,\ SUN Liu\|quan Institute of Applied Mathematics,Academia Sinica,Beijing 100080,China
摘    要:1 IntroductionThenumberofthemotorvehiclesownedbyindividuals(alsocalledprivatemotorvehicles)hasbeenincreasingsincethepolicywasmadetoallowsuchownershipinChinaintheearly1980s.ForaperiodfromthefoundationoftheP.R.Chinatotheearly1980s,onlystate-ownedorcol...


The Forecast and Regional Analysis of the Private Motor Vehicle Market in China
FANG Bi\|qi,\ ZHOU Yong,\ SUN Liu\|quan Institute of Applied Mathematics,Academia Sinica,Beijing ,China.The Forecast and Regional Analysis of the Private Motor Vehicle Market in China[J].Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering,1999(4).
Authors:FANG Bi\|qi  \ ZHOU Yong  \ SUN Liu\|quan Institute of Applied Mathematics  Academia Sinica  Beijing  China
Institution:FANG Bi\|qi,\ ZHOU Yong,\ SUN Liu\|quan Institute of Applied Mathematics,Academia Sinica,Beijing 100080,China
Abstract:This paper investigates the private motor vehicle market in China, which has been developed since 1984. Combined forecasting for the number of motor vechicles owned by individuals is made from several least squares regression equations and a Logistic model. Regional analysis is made on the data of the thirty areas by hierarchical cluster, revealing various types of the development of the regional markets.
Keywords:regression  Logistic model  combined forecasting  cluster  motor vehicle
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