| 无偏灰色预测模型在电力系统负荷预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 吉培荣,邹红波,张玉文. 无偏灰色预测模型在电力系统负荷预测中的应用[J]. 三峡大学学报(自然科学版), 2005, 27(4): 318-320 |
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| 作者姓名： | 吉培荣 邹红波 张玉文 |
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| 作者单位： | 三峡大学,电气信息学院,湖北,宜昌,443002 |
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| 摘 要： | 灰色预测模型已在负荷预测中得到了广泛的应用，该模型是一种有偏差的指数模型，在该模型基础上作者已导出了无偏灰色预测模型。将无偏灰色预测模型应用于负荷预测中，并与传统灰色预测模型进行了比较，结果显示了无偏灰色预测模型的优越性。
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| 关 键 词： | 负荷预测 灰色预测模型 无偏灰色预测模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-948X(2005)04-0318-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-03-23 |
Application of Unbiased Grey Forecasting Model to Load Forecasting of Power System |
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| Ji Peirong,Zou Hongbo,Zhang Yuweng. Application of Unbiased Grey Forecasting Model to Load Forecasting of Power System[J]. Journal of China Three Gorges University(Natural Sciences), 2005, 27(4): 318-320 |
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| Authors: | Ji Peirong Zou Hongbo Zhang Yuweng |
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| Abstract: | The traditional grey model has been widely used in the field of load forecasting of power system; but it has been demonstrated that the model is biased. Based on the biased model, an unbiased model has been proposed by the first author of this paper. The proposed model is used in the field of load forecasting and compared with the traditional model. The results indicate the unbiased model is superior to the traditional one. |
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| Keywords: | load forecasting grey forecasting model unbiased grey forecasting model |
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