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灰色预测模型在煤矿安全风险预控系统中的研究
引用本文:张建平,闫夏. 灰色预测模型在煤矿安全风险预控系统中的研究[J]. 系统科学学报, 2010, 18(2): 84-87
作者姓名:张建平  闫夏
作者单位:太原理工大学,太原,030024
摘    要:针对我国煤矿现阶段在安全管理方面存在的问题,分析国外煤矿安全管理经验,建立了煤矿企业的风险预控系统。在此系统中,通过危险源辨识、安全检查、采用灰色预测模型的方法来预测危险源的等级,与标准等级进行对比分析,从而采取有效措施把危险源遏制在萌芽状态,提出一种有效的安全管理模式和长效管理机制。

关 键 词:风险预控系统  灰色预测模型  安全管理

Gray prediction model for prevention and control of coal mine safety risk system application
ZHANG Jian-ping,YAN Xia. Gray prediction model for prevention and control of coal mine safety risk system application[J]. Journal of Systems Science, 2010, 18(2): 84-87
Authors:ZHANG Jian-ping  YAN Xia
Affiliation:ZHANG Jian-ping YAN Xia(Taiyuan University of Technology Economics , Management TaiYuan 030024)
Abstract:China's coal mines for safety management at the moment,the problems,analysis of foreign coal mine safety management experience,established a coal business risk pre-control system.In this system,through hazard identification,safety checks,using the method of gray forecasting model to predict the hazard level,with the standard grades were analyzed in order to take effective measures to contain the hazards in the bud,put forward an effective security management mode and long-term management mechanisms.
Keywords:Risk pre-control system  Gray prediction model  Safety management  
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