| 灰色改进等维新息GM（1，1）模型在电力系统长期负荷预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 施怀瑾,刘敏. 灰色改进等维新息GM（1，1）模型在电力系统长期负荷预测中的应用[J]. 贵州工业大学学报(自然科学版), 1994, 0(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 施怀瑾 刘敏 |
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| 作者单位： | 贵州工学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文分析了灰色系统预测ＧＭ（１，１）模型用于长期负荷预测时的局限性，针对电力系统需求增长的特点，提出了灰色改进等维新息ＧＭ（１，１）模型，对江苏电网的用电量进行测算的结果表明，采用改进等维新息ＧＭ（１，１）模型进行长期负荷预测的精度高于一般灰色ＧＭ（１，１）模型的预测精度，给出了程序框图与测算结果。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测；电力需求；负荷预测；等维新息 |
LONG-TERM LOAD FORECASTING FOR POWER SYSTEM BY DEVELOPING GREY MODEL GM (1, 1) |
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| ShiHuaijin, LiuMin. LONG-TERM LOAD FORECASTING FOR POWER SYSTEM BY DEVELOPING GREY MODEL GM (1, 1)[J]. Journal of Guizhou University of Technology(Natural Science Edition), 1994, 0(2) |
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| Authors: | ShiHuaijin LiuMin |
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| Abstract: | in this paper, the application conditions of the Grey Prediction model GM (1,1) is studied. The method of Equal Dimension New Signal (EDNS) Grey Model GM(1, 1 ) is Proposed to be used in the Long-term Load forecasting. The forecasting calculation result for the Power consumption of Guizhou and Jiansu electric-network provedthat the precision of the EDNS GM (1, 1) is better than the nomal GM (1,1), and thismethod is considered feasible and effective. |
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| Keywords: | Grey prediction Method Load Forecastingl Electric Power Demand Equal Dimension New Signal Grey Model (EDNS) GM (1 1) |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
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