| 投资对农产品价格波动的传导机制探究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张文军.投资对农产品价格波动的传导机制探究[J].厦门理工学院学报,2011,19(3):90-94,99. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张文军 |
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| 作者单位： | 厦门理工学院商学系,福建厦门,361024 |
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| 摘 要： | 通过对农产品价格波动特征及其原因的分析,得知:我国农产品价格波动的总体特征是由改革开放之前的平缓趋于改革开放之后的大起大落,而且投资是导致农产品价格波动关键、持久的作用因素;投资主要通过对农业原料的需求、推动农资成本的上涨并且对农业生产要素的占用三个渠道作用于农产品价格波动。最后通过Granger因果检验和脉冲反应模型对传导机制进行了检验,验证了投资波动确会引起农产品价格的同步波动。
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| 关 键 词： | 投资 农产品 价格波动 传导机制 Granger因果检验 脉冲反应模型 |
Investment and Agricultural Product Price Fluctuation |
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| ZHANG Wen-jun.Investment and Agricultural Product Price Fluctuation[J].Journal of Xiamen University of Technology,2011,19(3):90-94,99. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Wen-jun |
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| Institution: | ZHANG Wen-jun(Faculty of Business,Xiamen University of Technology,Xiamen 361024,China) |
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| Abstract: | The analysis of the characteristics and causes of the agricultural product price fluctuation has indicated that the general characteristics of China＇s agricultural products price fluctuation is its mildness before the reform and sharp fluctuation after the reform,and that investment is the crucial and lasting influencing factor,which mainly has three channels：the demands on the agricultural raw materials,the rise of the agricultural production means and the occupation of the agricultural production factors.Together,those channels affect the agricultural product price fluctuation.In the end,the thesis has verified the transmission mechanism by the Granger causality test and the model of Pulse Response. |
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| Keywords: | investment agricultural product price fluctuation transmission mechanism Granger causality test pulse response model |
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