一种基于集对分析的作战方案优选方法

作战方案的选择是作战指挥决策的关键环节,其合理与否直接关系到作战效能的发挥和作战的成败.针对作战方案优选问题,运用集对分析不确定性理论,提出了一种多时段多指标作战方案优选方法.通过构造合理的同异反(IDC)联系度,有效地分析了作战方案的不确定性对作战态势转化的影响,获得了作战方案的集对势排序.应用算例验证了所提方法的可行性和有效性.

Selection of Operation Schemes Based on Set Pair Analysis

The selection of operation schemes is a critical step in the course of warfare command decision-making analysis,which directly affects the exertion of operation effectiveness and the result of operations.Set pair analysis(SPA) theory is used to solve the selection problems of the operation schemes by dealing with the uncertainty of the alternatives.Further,a multi-periods and multi-attributes selection method is proposed.By constructing the identical discrepancy contrary(IDC) relation degree,the impact of the uncertainty of the warfare alternatives on the transformation of battlefield situation is analyzed effectively,and the ranking order of set pair potential of each alternative on all attributes is obtained.A numerical example demonstrates the applicability and effectiveness of the method proposed.