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营口城市用地扩展模拟预测研究
引用本文:王立波,吴凡,宋丹丹,介冬梅.营口城市用地扩展模拟预测研究[J].东北师大学报(自然科学版),2012,44(2):132-137.
作者姓名:王立波  吴凡  宋丹丹  介冬梅
作者单位:1. 东北师范大学城市与环境科学学院,吉林长春130024;元氏县国土资源局,河北石家庄051130
2. 东北师范大学城市与环境科学学院,吉林长春,130024
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目
摘    要:基于CA原理,结合GIS与RS技术,在ArcGIS平台中进行二次开发,构建了GIS-CA模型系统.以营口市为研究区域,对其城市用地扩展进行了模拟和预测.研究表明:GIS与CA集成,增强了GIS的时空动态建模功能,CA模型和GIS耦合是研究城市扩展动态模拟与预测的较为可行的研究方法;利用GIS-CA模型模拟和预测了营口城市用地变化趋势,对营口城市用地扩展模拟的结果比较合理,模拟的精度达到70%以上.

关 键 词:土地管理  GIS-CA模型  GIS  CA  城市用地扩张  营口市

The research on Yingkou urban landuse expansion
WANG Li-bo , WU Fan , SONG Dan-dan , JIE Dong-mei.The research on Yingkou urban landuse expansion[J].Journal of Northeast Normal University (Natural Science Edition),2012,44(2):132-137.
Authors:WANG Li-bo  WU Fan  SONG Dan-dan  JIE Dong-mei
Institution:1(1.College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Northeast Normal University,Changchun 130024,China; 2.Yuanshi Bureau of Land & Resources,Shijiazhuang 051130,China)
Abstract:At present,most of the cities in our country are at the initial stage of fast expanding,more and more construction land will be needed.Therefore a new technique should be introduced to forecast the increasing of construction land of a city,and help the managers to make reasonable decisions.Based on CA(cellular automata),and combined the techniques of GIS and RS,this paper designed a model named GIS-CA on the platform of ArcGIS,to simulate and forecast the expansion of Yingkou’s construction land.Conclusion can be classified into followings:firstly,the integration of GIS and CA is a feasible method for simulating urban expansion;secondly,by using GIS-CA,we forecast the changing tendency of urban land use of Yingkou,and the result is reasonable,and the simulation accuracy reaches 70%.
Keywords:land management  GIS-CA model  GIS  CA  urban land expansion  Yingkou city
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