扬中县土地资源人口承载量研究

从分析农业生产条件及土地利用结构入手，讨论土地利用结构的调整；选用ＧＭ（１，１）、直接推算法及年龄移算法预测未来人口；采用逻辑斯蒂曲线法、农业生态区域法及ＧＭ（１，１）等预测土地的生产能力和不同消费水平下的土地人口承载量；通过农产品供需平衡的分析，得出研究结论，并提出提高人口承载量的若干对策，对土地与人口、人口与环境及农业稳定发展进行了探索。

Study on the Population Carrying Capacity of Land Resource in Yangzhong County

It begins with the evaluation of land resource and land use structure, the adjustment of land use structure is made according to the people's needs. With the help ofmathematical models, the future population and the land productivity are predicted, the population carrying capacity of the land resource under different living stardards are analyzed.At the end, the possibility to raise the population carrying capacity of the land resource andthe ways needed to attain this goal are concerned.