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| 基于AHP和灰色评价法的武汉市水环境风险评价及管理战略思考 | |
| 引用本文： | 张祚,邓亚兰,陈昆仑,王振伟. 基于AHP和灰色评价法的武汉市水环境风险评价及管理战略思考[J]. 湖北大学学报(自然科学版), 2014, 36(6): 481-486,504 |
| 作者姓名： | 张祚 邓亚兰 陈昆仑 王振伟 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 华中科技大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430074;湖北大学商学院,湖北武汉430062 2. 湖北大学商学院,湖北武汉,430062 3. 湖北大学资源环境学院,湖北武汉,430062 |
| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金，教育部人文社会科学研究基金，中国博士后科学基金，武汉市社会科学基金，湖北省教育厅人文社会科学研究项目 |
| 摘 要： | 通过构建武汉市城市水环境风险指标体系,综合运用AHP和灰色评价法对当前武汉市水环境总体风险、及其形成原因和结果表现进行评价.结果显示：1）武汉市水环境风险总体处于＂风险较高＂水平;2）成因方面,社会发展对水环境有一定负面影响;3）表现结果方面看,水污染负荷程度较高.最后,基于评价结果和武汉市未来社会经济发展的＂基准情景＂、＂优化情景＂和＂绿色低碳情景＂进行假设,并对科学制定武汉水环境管理战略提出了建议. |
| 关 键 词： | 水环境 风险价评 管理战略 武汉 |
AHP and gray evaluation method based water environment risk assessment and management strategy consideration for Wuhan |
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| ZHANG Zuo,DENG Yalan,CHEN Kunlun,WANG Zhenwei. AHP and gray evaluation method based water environment risk assessment and management strategy consideration for Wuhan[J]. Journal of Hubei University(Natural Science Edition), 2014, 36(6): 481-486,504 | |
| Authors: | ZHANG Zuo DENG Yalan CHEN Kunlun WANG Zhenwei |
| Affiliation: | ZHANG Zuo;DENG Yalan;CHEN Kunlun;WANG Zhenwei;College of Public Administration,Huazhong University of Science and Technology;School of Business,Hubei University;School of Resources and Environmental Science,Hubei University; |
| Abstract: | We constructed Wuhan water environment risk index system,and integrated AHP and gray evaluation method to assess the overall risk,its causes and performances for Wuhan water environment.The results showed that：1）Wuhan had a higher risk of water environment;2）As a cause,social development had a certain negative influence on water environment;3）As a result,water pollution loads were higher.Base on these evaluate results,tried to make assumptions of three situations—＂basic situation＂,＂optimized situation＂and＂green with low carbon situation＂—for future social and economic development in Wuhan,and finally gave some suggestions for scientific water environmental management strategy. |
| Keywords: | water environment risk assessment management strategy Wuhan |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ | |