| 组合预测方法在电力系统负荷预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 吉培荣,张玉文,赵青. 组合预测方法在电力系统负荷预测中的应用[J]. 三峡大学学报(自然科学版), 2005, 27(5): 398-400 |
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| 作者姓名： | 吉培荣 张玉文 赵青 |
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| 作者单位： | 三峡大学,电气信息学院,湖北,宜昌,443002 |
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| 摘 要： | 组合预测方法是一种性能优越的预测方法.应用最优组合预测和递归等权组合预测方法将自适应滤波模型、灰色模型、指数平滑模型组合在一起进行电网负荷预测,获得了好的预测效果.
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| 关 键 词： | 负荷预测 组合预测 最优组合预测 递归等权组合预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-948X(2005)05-0398-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-03-23 |
Application of Combination Forecast Method to Electric Load Forecasting for Power System |
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| Ji Peirong,Zhang Yuweng,Zhao qing. Application of Combination Forecast Method to Electric Load Forecasting for Power System[J]. Journal of China Three Gorges University(Natural Sciences), 2005, 27(5): 398-400 |
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| Authors: | Ji Peirong Zhang Yuweng Zhao qing |
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| Abstract: | Combination forecast method is a kind of forecast method with excellent property.The optimum combination forecast model and the equivalent weight recurrence combination forecast model are used for forecasting electric load of power system.The adaptive filter model,the grey model and the exponentially weighted moving average model are combined into combination forecast models to forecast electric load of power system.The forecasting result shows that the combination forecast method could get better result than any single model. |
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| Keywords: | load forecasting combination forecasting optimum combination forecasting model equivalent weight recurrence combination forecast model |
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