| 气候变化对血吸虫病空间分布的潜在影响 |
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| 引用本文： | 彭文祥,张志杰,庄建林,周艺彪,姜庆五.气候变化对血吸虫病空间分布的潜在影响[J].科技导报(北京),2006,24(7):58-60. |
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| 作者姓名： | 彭文祥 张志杰 庄建林 周艺彪 姜庆五 |
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| 作者单位： | 复旦大学公共卫生学院流行病学教研室 上海200032 |
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| 基金项目： | 教育部科学技术研究项目;科技部科研项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用地理信息系统技术,探讨了划分血吸虫病流行区与非流行区的较好气温指标,并用其研究预测气候变化对血吸虫病空间分布的潜在影响。研究表明,随着全球气候变暖以及中国南水北调工程的实施,若钉螺扩散,且适宜钉螺孳生的其他条件满足,则存在钉螺北移的风险。若干年后,全球气候变暖对钉螺的分布和血吸虫病的防治将带来挑战,对此应给予足够的重视。
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| 关 键 词： | 气候变化 钉螺 气温 血吸虫病 地理信息系统 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-7857（2006）07-0058-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-05-10 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年5月10日 |
Potential Impact of Climate Changes on Spatial Distribution of Schistosomiasis in China |
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| PENG Wen-Xiang,ZHANG Zhi-jie,ZHUANG Jian-lin,ZHOU Yi-biao,JANG Qing-Wu.Potential Impact of Climate Changes on Spatial Distribution of Schistosomiasis in China[J].Science & Technology Review,2006,24(7):58-60. |
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| Authors: | PENG Wen-Xiang ZHANG Zhi-jie ZHUANG Jian-lin ZHOU Yi-biao JANG Qing-Wu |
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| Institution: | Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai 200032, China |
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| Abstract: | The better index of air temperature that can be used to distinguish the epidemic area from non-epidemic area of schistosomiasis using Geographic Information System (GIS), and the potential impacts of climate changes on the spatial distribution of schistosomiasis, were studied. The result shows that Oncomelania Hupensis has the possibility to move north if the other conditions that affect the survival of Oncomelania Hupensis meet, with the global climate warming and the carry-out of south-north water transfer project in China. Global climate warming will cause great challenges for the schistosomiasis control and the distribution of the Oncomelania Hupensis in the future. |
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| Keywords: | climate changes Oncomelania Hupensis air temperature schistosomiasis Geographic Information System |
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