| 基于三角模糊实物期权法的PPP项目VFM定量评估研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈雅,聂春龙,陈振富.基于三角模糊实物期权法的PPP项目VFM定量评估研究[J].南华大学学报(自然科学版),2020,34(3):31-35, 50. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈雅 聂春龙 陈振富 |
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| 作者单位： | 南华大学 土木工程学院,湖南 衡阳421001;南华大学 土木工程学院,湖南 衡阳421001;南华大学 土木工程学院,湖南 衡阳421001 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(51678286) |
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| 摘 要： | 物有所值评价能够为公共项目实施模式的选择提供决策依据,但就目前的情况而言,物有所值定量评估存在比较大的争议。因此,在对传统模型进行了研究后,以此为基础在实物期权B-S模型中借助三角模糊数概念进行结合,试图将PPP项目评估过程中被忽略的期权价值发掘出来。以某旅游创意园项目为例,在不完全脱离现有评估体系的基础上计算得出不确定性价值范围,以期通过一个更加全面视角为物有所值定量评价提供参考依据。
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| 关 键 词： | PPP模式 VFM定量评估 实物期权法 三角模糊数 |
| 收稿时间： | 2019/12/6 0:00:00 |
Research on VFM Quantitative Evaluation of PPP Project Based on Triangular Fuzzy Real Option Method |
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| CHEN Y,NIE Chunlong,CHEN Zhenfu.Research on VFM Quantitative Evaluation of PPP Project Based on Triangular Fuzzy Real Option Method[J].Journal of Nanhua University:Science and Technology,2020,34(3):31-35, 50. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Y NIE Chunlong CHEN Zhenfu |
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| Institution: | School of Civil Engineering,University of South China,Hengyang,Hunan 421001,China |
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| Abstract: | Value-for-money evaluation can provide decision-making basis for the selection of public project implementation mode.As far as the current situation is concerned,there is a great controversy in the quantitative evaluation of value for money.Therefore,after the study of the traditional model,based on the B-S model of real options,this paper combines the concept of triangular fuzzy number and tries to find out the value of options neglected in the evaluation process of PPP projects.Taking a tourism creative park project as an example,the uncertainty value range is calculated without completely deviating from the existing evaluation system,so as to provide a more comprehensive perspective for the quantitative evaluation of value for money. |
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| Keywords: | PPP model quantitative evaluation of VFM real option method triangular fuzzy number |
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