| 基于状态预测与评估的部件任务成功性评估研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 沈军,张耀辉.基于状态预测与评估的部件任务成功性评估研究[J].系统工程理论与实践,2013,33(10):2695-2700. |
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| 作者姓名： | 沈军 张耀辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 总参谋部陆航研究所, 北京 101121;2. 装甲兵工程学院 技术保障工程系, 北京 100072 |
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| 基金项目： | 军队科研计划项目(9140A27020210JB3508) |
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| 摘 要： | 针对任务成功性评估的需要, 充分考虑任务可靠性与维修性的特点. 在状态监测与预测的基础上, 通过D-S证据理论与模糊综合评判相结合的办法得出部件针对任务的不可靠度, 由不可靠度与相关维修数据相结合来实现对部件的任务成功性评估. 最后通过示例应用表明了该方法的可用性.
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| 关 键 词： | 状态预测与评估 D-S证据理论 模糊综合评判法 任务成功性评估 |
| 收稿时间： | 2011-09-05 |
Evaluation of dependability of unit based on state evaluation and prediction |
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| SHEN Jun,ZHANG Yao-hui.Evaluation of dependability of unit based on state evaluation and prediction[J].Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice,2013,33(10):2695-2700. |
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| Authors: | SHEN Jun ZHANG Yao-hui |
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| Institution: | 1. Army Aviation Research Institute, Beijing 101121, China;2. Department of Technical Support Engineering, Academy of Armored Force Engineering, Beijing 100072, China |
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| Abstract: | For the need of dependability evaluation, we give full consideration to the characteristics of reliability and maintainability. Through D-S evidence theory and fuzzy comprehension assessment, we arrival at a conclusion of unreliability based on the state monitoring and forecasting. We combine with unreliability and the related maintenance data to achieve the evaluation of dependability of unit. Finally, the applicability of the method was validated by an example. |
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| Keywords: | state prediction and assessment D-S evidence theory fuzzy comprehension assessment dependability evaluation |
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