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Research on optimize prediction model and algorithm about chaotic time series
Authors:Email author" target="_blank">Jiang?Wei-jinEmail author  Xu?Yu-sheng
Institution:(1) Department of Computer, Zhuzhou Institute of Technology, 112008 Zhuzhou, Hunan, China;(2) College of Mechanical Engineering and Applied Electronics, Beijing University of Technology, 100022 Beijing, China
Abstract:We put forward a chaotic estimating model. by using the parameter of the chaotic system, sensitivity of the parameter to inching and control the disturbance of the system, and estimated the parameter of the model by using the best update option. In the end, we forecast the intending series value in its mutually space. The example shows that it can increase the precision in the estimated process by selecting the best model steps. It not only conquer the abuse of using detention inlay technology alone, but also decrease blindness of using forecast error to decide the input model directly , and the result of it is better than the method of statistics and other series means.
Keywords:chaotic time series  parameter identification  optimal prediction model  improved change ruler method
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