| 日本出口减少对就业的影响及其对中国的启示 |
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| 作者单位： | ;1.南开大学国际经济贸易系;2.南开大学台湾所 |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了日本在持续对外贸易顺差的背景下,持续的出口减少直至出现持续的贸易逆差可能给其国内就业带来的影响,并指出其对中国发展对外贸易和经济的借鉴意义.基于一个C-D生产函数模型,结合日本1985-2011年的相关指标和数据,通过计量经济分析得出2个结论:日本的出口对其国内就业有显著的促进作用,进口对其就业有显著的负面影响.日本的出口减少对就业的负面影响明显,这提醒我们,中国应该稳定出口政策、继续鼓励出口的正常增长,防止出现中国出口大幅下降的情况.
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| 关 键 词： | 中国 日本 出口减少 就业 |
The Impact of Japan's Exports Reduction on Its Employment and Its Inspiration to China |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzes the sudden impact of export reduction on Japan's domestic employment,and points out its significance to China's foreign trade and economic development.Based on an input-output model,the relevant indexes and the data during 1981-2011 on Japan,we have concluded that Japan's exports can significantly stimulate its domestic employment,but its imports have significant negative effects on its domestic employment.It shows that Japan's export reduction has a significant downside effect on its employment,and it reminds us that China should stabilize its exporting policy and continue stimulating decent growth of China's exports. |
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| Keywords: | Japan China export reduction employment |
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