燃气热电冷三联供机组的市场分析及相关政策研究

燃气热电冷三联供机组的市场发展前景主要和以下因素有关：社会需求量、电力和燃气供应条件及技术经济性、上海房地产业的迅速发展为燃气热电冷三联供机组的发展提供了广阔的市场．上海的电力供应将趋于紧张,而天然气的供应将随着“西气东输”国家工程的建成投产不断增加,这对燃气机组的发展提供了有利的空间．在现行能源价格体系下,采用燃气热电冷三联供机组在经济上是可行的．如政府采取积极的引导政策,将为燃气热电冷三联供机组的发展带来良好的前景．

Market forecast of gas driven CCHP system in Shanghai and related policies study

The market development of gas driven CCHP system depends on the following factors:social demand,supplying condition of electricity and gas and technique economics.The quick increase of common buildings in Shanghai offers a wide market for the CCHP.The electricity supply in Shanghai will probably go short in next years.However,the natural gas supply will be plentiful with the national project "transmitting gas from the west to the east" putting into operation.It offers a wide market for gas driven CCHP.The economic analysis shows that it is of benefit to use a CCHP with the selection of a reasonable power unit under the condition of the current energy cost.All of these indicates that the gas driven CCHP has a great developing space with the policies supporting from local government.