| 城市居民可支配收入与消费支出的协整分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 张林泉.城市居民可支配收入与消费支出的协整分析[J].江苏技术师范学院学报,2011,17(6):57-60. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张林泉 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东女子职业技术学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省高等职业技术教育研究会项目(编号:GDGZ10049) |
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| 摘 要： | 根据武汉统计数据(1980-2009),利用协整理论,对城市居民人均收入与消费支出之间的关系进行了动态分析,建立了消费收入误差修正模型。结果表明:当期人均消费与当期的人均可支配收入、前期的人均可支配收入、前期的人均消费之间存在长期均衡的关系;存在从收入到消费的Granger因果关系;前期人均消费对当期人均消费的有一定影响,当期收入对当期消费有较大的影响;收入与消费之间存在较强的短期动态调整机制。
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| 关 键 词： | 消费函数模型 协整分析 可支配收入 消费支出 |
Cointegration Analysis on the Disposable Income and Consumption Expenditure in Urban Households |
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| ZHANG Lin-quan.Cointegration Analysis on the Disposable Income and Consumption Expenditure in Urban Households[J].Journal of Jiangsu Teachers University of Technology,2011,17(6):57-60. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Lin-quan |
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| Institution: | ZHANG Lin-quan(Guangdong Women's Polytechnic College,Guangzhou 511450,China) |
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| Abstract: | Based on the statistical data from Wuhan(1980 to 2009) and cointegration theory,this paper establishes an error-correction model after making a dynamic analysis on the relationship between annual per capital income and consumption expenditure of the city,which indicates that there exist long-term balanced relations between the income and expense.Some policy suggestions are offered accordingly. |
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| Keywords: | consumption function model cointegration analysis disposable income consumption expenditure |
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