| 油价冲击对我国行业经济的影响研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 甘欢欢,焦建玲.油价冲击对我国行业经济的影响研究[J].合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版),2011(10):1558-1563. |
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| 作者姓名： | 甘欢欢 焦建玲 |
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| 作者单位： | 合肥工业大学管理学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70971034); 安徽省自然科学基金资助项目(090416243) |
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| 摘 要： | 文章选取主要的石油消费行业,利用SVAR模型,研究国际油价冲击对这些行业利润、投资、客运周转量和货运周转量等指标的影响.结果显示:在国际油价的正向作用下,石油产业上下游出现“盈亏”两重天；化学原料及化学制品制造业和非金属矿物制品业,由于能够顺利地将价格传导给下游,所受的影响不大；而交通运输业却受到长期的负向影响,尽管这...
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| 关 键 词： | 油价冲击 SVAR模型 价格传导 |
On the impact of oil price shock on industrial economy of China |
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| GAN Huan-huan,JIAO Jian-ling.On the impact of oil price shock on industrial economy of China[J].Journal of Hefei University of Technology(Natural Science),2011(10):1558-1563. |
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| Authors: | GAN Huan-huan JIAO Jian-ling |
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| Institution: | GAN Huan-huan,JIAO Jian-ling(School of Management,Hefei University of Technology,Hefei 230009,China) |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,aiming at some major oil consumption industries,the impact of world oil price shock on the profits,investments,passenger transport and freight transport of these industries is researched by using structural vector auto-regressive(SVAR) model.The results indicate that the upstream and downstream of the petroleum companies have different reactions to the positive shock of oil price,showing profits and losses respectively.Because the manufacturing companies of raw chemical materials,chemical prod... |
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| Keywords: | oil price shock structural vector auto-regressive(SVAR) model price transmission |
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