| 计算系统可靠度置信下限的几种Monte Carlo方法及其比较 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐明钧,方强. 计算系统可靠度置信下限的几种Monte Carlo方法及其比较[J]. 上海交通大学学报, 1986, 0(4) |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐明钧 方强 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文介绍了三个借助于计算机模拟元件可靠度的Fiducial方法,Bayes方法及折合的渐近正态方法计算指数型串联系统可靠度的置信下限,在MC-68000计算机上进行计算,并对三个方法用数值例子作比较,结果显示折合的渐近正态方法程序简单,效果良好。
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| 关 键 词： | 蒙特卡洛方法 串联系统 系统可靠度的置信下限 |
Several Monte Carlo Techniques for Obtaining System Reliability Confidence and Their Comparison |
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| Xu Mingjun Fang Qiang. Several Monte Carlo Techniques for Obtaining System Reliability Confidence and Their Comparison[J]. Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong University, 1986, 0(4) |
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| Authors: | Xu Mingjun Fang Qiang |
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| Affiliation: | Xu Mingjun Fang Qiang |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,three methods for simulating component reliability,namely the Fidu- cial method,the Bayes method and the converted asymptotic normal method,are intro- duced.Using each method on the IBM 68000 computer respectively,the lower confidence limit of exponential series-system reliability is obtained and the numerical results have been compared.It is revealed that the program with the converted normal asymptotic method is the most simple and effective one. |
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| Keywords: | Monte Carlo series system lower confidence limit of system reliability |
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