基于博弈论的贸易保护和贸易自由政策研究

贸易保护不利于世界经济的发展,但贸易保护和贸易自由却贯穿整个国际贸易历史。从博弈理论角度,构建两国同时选择的静态博弈模型、重复博弈模型和两国有先后选择顺序的动态博弈模型,对贸易保护和贸易自由政策的选择进行分析,进而解释贸易保护政策之所以盛行的内在原因,并从中得到一些政策性的启示。

Research on the Policies of Trade Protection and Trade Freedom from the Perspective of the Game Theory

It is not beneficial for the world economy to implement the policy of trade protection,however,the policies of trade protection and trade freedom always appear together during the history of world trade.This paper will build the game modes of static game of two nations which decide meantime,repeated game and dynamic game of two nations which decide one after one respectively and analyze the selection between the policy of trade protection and trade freedom.The result of these models can explain the inner reason why the trade protection policy can prosper.Finally,some tips can be deduced from the analysis.