| 城市人口区域分布动态演化自组织模型初步研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 苏小康,曾光明,黄国和,李建兵. 城市人口区域分布动态演化自组织模型初步研究[J]. 系统工程理论与实践, 2003, 23(10): 115-120. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2003)10-115 |
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| 作者姓名： | 苏小康 曾光明 黄国和 李建兵 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南大学环境科学与工程系 湖南长沙410082 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金(70171055，50179011)，高等学校优秀青年教师教学科研奖励计划项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据耗散结构理论自组织建模原理,考虑区域人口的相互迁移作用,尝试建立了城市区域人口动态演化自组织模型,并对模型的解法及典型计算结果进行了讨论,在长沙市对模型进行了实际应用,模拟预测了长沙市未来百年9个区域人口动态演化情景,得出了相应的结论.
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| 关 键 词： | 自组织 人口 迁移 模型 预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-6788(2003)10-0115-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002-08-01 |
Primary Research on Self-organization Model of Population Variety in Urban Areas |
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| SU Xiao-kang,ZENG Guang-ming,HUANG Guo-he,LI Jian-bing. Primary Research on Self-organization Model of Population Variety in Urban Areas[J]. Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice, 2003, 23(10): 115-120. DOI: 10.12011/1000-6788(2003)10-115 |
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| Authors: | SU Xiao-kang ZENG Guang-ming HUANG Guo-he LI Jian-bing |
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| Affiliation: | Department of Environmental Science and Environmental Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, .China) |
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| Abstract: | According to the self-organization modeling idea of dissipative structure theory, we attempted to make out the self-organization model of population variety in urban areas with the migration between urban areas under consideration. Furthermore, the solution and typical results of the model were discussed. In the application of the model in Changsha, population varieties of nine areas in Chang-sha for the future were predicted and some related conclusions were made. |
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| Keywords: | self-organization population migration model prediction |
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