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基于DGM模型的河南省废水排放总量的预测
引用本文:穆广杰.基于DGM模型的河南省废水排放总量的预测[J].河南师范大学学报(自然科学版),2011,39(4):32-34.
作者姓名:穆广杰
作者单位:郑州航空工业管理学院经贸学院,郑州,450015
基金项目:河南省科技攻关计划项目(072102340026)
摘    要:DGM模型是在灰色系统理论的基础上,针对于灰色预测GM(1,1)模型的稳定性不足、长期预测时存在较大误差等问题而提出的.通过创建DGM模型,阐述了该模型在进行预测时的条件.并在此基础上对我省的废水排放总量进行了预测分析,研究结果表明我省废水排放总量近些年来呈现快速增长的趋势,必须采取有力的措施加以控制.

关 键 词:河南省  DGM模型  废水排放总量  预测

Forecasting Total Volume of Waste Water Discharge of Henan Based on DGM Model
MU Guang-jie.Forecasting Total Volume of Waste Water Discharge of Henan Based on DGM Model[J].Journal of Henan Normal University(Natural Science),2011,39(4):32-34.
Authors:MU Guang-jie
Institution:MU Guang-jie(Resources & Economic Trade Department,Zhengzhou Institute of Aeronautical Industry Management,Zhengzhou 450015,China)
Abstract:DGM model is proposed based on the grey system theory,which is aiming at overcoming the inefficiency of stability and large error in long-term prediction of the grey prediction GM(1,1) model.The necessary conditions for accurate prediction are illustrated and the total volume of waste water discharge in Henan province is predicted under these conditions.Results show that the total volume of waste water discharge has the trend of rapid growth and some forceful measures must be taken for control.
Keywords:Henan  DGM model  total volume of waste water discharge  forecast  
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