| 引信的经验贝叶斯可靠性评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 王宏洲 马宝华. 引信的经验贝叶斯可靠性评估[J]. 北京理工大学学报, 1990, 10(3): 49-55 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王宏洲 马宝华 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京理工大学力学工程系(王宏洲，马宝华)，北京理工大学力学工程系(施聚生) |
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| 摘 要： | 为了解决引信可靠性评估中子样容量小与可靠性高的尖锐矛盾,本文研究了经验贝叶斯方法。针对这个矛盾,提出了参数估计近似法,并讨论了其性态,计算实例表明该方法较有效,把该法与生物统计学中移植来的其它几种方法进行了比较和评价,结合计算机仿真的结果,对各种方法在引信可靠性评估中的有效性作了研究。
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| 关 键 词： | 引信 可靠性 点估计 风险分析 |
Empirical Bayes Reliability Assessment for Fuzes |
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| Wang Hongzhou Ma Baohua Shi Jusheng. Empirical Bayes Reliability Assessment for Fuzes[J]. Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology(Natural Science Edition), 1990, 10(3): 49-55 |
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| Authors: | Wang Hongzhou Ma Baohua Shi Jusheng |
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| Affiliation: | Mechanics and Engineering Department |
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| Abstract: | A new method of empirical Bayes reliability evaluation for the binomial distribution is presented and its performance is studied . The usefulness of this approach in practice is also examined . Eight kinds of other established methods of empirical Bayes estimation are surveyed and extended . Making use of computer -simulated results , these methods are evaluated and compared with each other in theory and practice and in regard to their risks . The paper then draws to a conclusion on the effectiveness of the various methods in fuze reliability assessment . |
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| Keywords: | fuze reliability assessment point estimation interval estimation / empirical Bayes methods prior distribution fail - pass type risk . |
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