| 莱州湾东南沿岸海水入侵发展规律与趋势预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 张乃兴,郑新奇.莱州湾东南沿岸海水入侵发展规律与趋势预测[J].山东师范大学学报(自然科学版),1996,11(4):72-77. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张乃兴 郑新奇 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东师范大学地理研究所 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家“八五”科技攻关项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 对莱州湾东南沿岸地区海水入侵的特点和规律进行了分析，并以灰色系统模型ＧＭ对该地区海水入侵的发展趋势进行了预测，最后提出了防治海水入侵的对策建议。
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| 关 键 词： | 海水入侵 预测 灰色系统 防治 |
DEVELOPING LAW AND TENDENCY PREDICTION OF SEA WATER INTRUSION IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN COAST OF THE LAIZHOU BAY |
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| Zhang Naixing,Zheng Xinqi,Li Xinyun.DEVELOPING LAW AND TENDENCY PREDICTION OF SEA WATER INTRUSION IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN COAST OF THE LAIZHOU BAY[J].Journal of Shandong Normal University(Natural Science),1996,11(4):72-77. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Naixing Zheng Xinqi Li Xinyun |
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| Abstract: | The sea water intrusion law in eastern and southern coastal area of the Laizhou Bay is discussed.Time dynamic models that have good fitting are estiblished by using grey system method GM(1,1).Prediction shows that sea water intrusion in the region will go on spreading,Finally,some control measures such as water-saving industry,synthetical control measures,etc.are provided. |
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| Keywords: | sea water intrusion GM(1 1) Model tendency prediction |
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