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基于灰色局势决策理论的工程投标决策方法
引用本文:曹丽文,吴圣林,于宗仁,王忠胜. 基于灰色局势决策理论的工程投标决策方法[J]. 华中科技大学学报(自然科学版), 2004, 32(7): 27-30
作者姓名:曹丽文  吴圣林  于宗仁  王忠胜
作者单位:中国矿业大学资源与地球科学学院,江苏,徐州,221008;中国矿业大学资源与地球科学学院,江苏,徐州,221008;中国矿业大学资源与地球科学学院,江苏,徐州,221008;中国矿业大学资源与地球科学学院,江苏,徐州,221008
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目 (4 0 372 0 6 9)
摘    要:将非等权目标灰局势决策方法用于基础工程投标决策,初步涉及了基础工程投标中存在的诸多不确定因素和风险性.从决定工程投标的影响因素人手,确定了灰色局势决策目标和权向量,将决策树和标准离差率(风险值)的计算结果作为量化了的决策目标,使灰色局势决策方法的基础数据来源更具有理论依据.结合工程实例,具体阐述了投标决策过程,并对决策结果给予了细致分析.为基础工程施工企业做出正确的投标决策提供了依据.

关 键 词:基础工程  投标  灰色决策  决策树  标准离差率(风险值)
文章编号:1671-4512(2004)07-0027-04
修稿时间:2003-07-28

Decision-making method of engineering bidding based on grey game decision
Cao Liwen Wu Shenglin Yu Zongren Wang Zhongsheng Cao Liwen Doctoral Candidate, College of Mineral Resource and Geoscience,China Univ. of Mining , Tech.,Xuzhou ,China.. Decision-making method of engineering bidding based on grey game decision[J]. JOURNAL OF HUAZHONG UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY.NATURE SCIENCE, 2004, 32(7): 27-30
Authors:Cao Liwen Wu Shenglin Yu Zongren Wang Zhongsheng Cao Liwen Doctoral Candidate   College of Mineral Resource  Geoscience  China Univ. of Mining & Tech.  Xuzhou   China.
Affiliation:Cao Liwen Wu Shenglin Yu Zongren Wang Zhongsheng Cao Liwen Doctoral Candidate, College of Mineral Resource and Geoscience,China Univ. of Mining & Tech.,Xuzhou 221008,China.
Abstract:Unequal weighted multiple aim decision making was used in foundation engineering bidding. Lots of undefined preliminary factors and risks of foundation engineering bid were involved. Based on the governing factors of engineering bid, the grey decision making aims and their weight vector were defined. The results of the decision making tree and normal deviate rate (value at risk) were used as quantified aims. The source of data was based on theory. According to the example, the bidding decision making procedure was explained and the results were analyzed. The study provided a scientific evidence for foundation enterprises to make a correct bidding scheme.
Keywords:foundation engineering  bidding  grey decision making  decision making tree  normal deviate rate at risk
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