| MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF ENERGY SYSTEM BASED ON COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEM |
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| 引用本文： | QIUShiming GUPeiliang. MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF ENERGY SYSTEM BASED ON COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEM[J]. 系统科学与复杂性, 2004, 17(2): 281-288 |
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| 作者姓名： | QIUShiming GUPeiliang |
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| 作者单位： | School of Management，Tianjin University，Tianjin 300072，China |
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| 基金项目： | This research is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No. 70071041). |
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| 摘 要： | Complex adaptive system (CAS) is a kind of complex system in natural and artificial systems. In this paper, the theory of complex adaptive system is introduced at first. Considering the characteristic of energy system, it can be regarded as a complex adaptive system. After the evolutionary law is analysed, the energy complex system model is established based on CAS and application tool SWARM, which is a simulation software platform. The model differs from the models as well as methods developed before. As an application, China's energy system is simulated with the model established above. China's future total energy demand in the future, energy structure and related in fluence on environment are presented.
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| 关 键 词： | 能量系统 复杂自适应系统 CAS 系统仿真 SWARM |
MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF ENERGY SYSTEM BASED ON COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEM |
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| QIU Shiming GU Peiliang. MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF ENERGY SYSTEM BASED ON COMPLEX ADAPTIVE SYSTEM[J]. Journal of Systems Science and Complexity, 2004, 17(2): 281-288 |
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| Authors: | QIU Shiming GU Peiliang |
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| Abstract: | Complex adaptive system (CAS) is a kind of complex system in natural and artificial systems. In this paper, the theory of complex adaptive system is introduced at first. Considering the characteristic of energy system, it can be regarded as a complex adaptive system. After the evolutionary law is analysed, the energy complex system model is established based on CAS and application tool SWARM, which is a simulation software platform. The model differs from the models as well as methods developed before. As an application, China's energy system is simulated with the model established above. China's future total energy demand in the future, energy structure and related in fluence on environment are presented. |
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| Keywords: | Complex adaptive system energy system modeling simulation SWARM. |
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