| 运用属性论方法加强供应链牛鞭效应防范 |
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| 引用本文： | 李建丽,刘永昌,冯嘉礼. 运用属性论方法加强供应链牛鞭效应防范[J]. 广西师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2006, 24(4): 1-4 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李建丽 刘永昌 冯嘉礼 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海海事大学,交通运输学院,上海,200135;上海海事大学,联合创新基地,上海,200135;上海海事大学,信息工程技术研究所,上海,200135 |
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| 摘 要： | 提高预测的准确性是缓解供应链牛鞭效应的关键。目前预测的方法往往很难适应订购量历史数据的变动,导致预测结果的偏差。运用属性论方法,就制造商—零售商—客户三级供应链,提出了一个需求信息预测的方法,由此来提高对这种波动性的适应能力,增强预测的准确性,帮助供应链上各节点企业优化决策过程,最终防范了牛鞭效应,并且还提供了此预测方法的算法流程。
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| 关 键 词： | 需求信息预测 牛鞭效应 属性论 供应链 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-6600（2006）04-0001-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-05-31 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-05-31 |
Application of Attribute Theory Method in Prevention of Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chain |
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| LI Jian-li,LIU Yong-chang,FENG Jia-li. Application of Attribute Theory Method in Prevention of Bullwhip Effect in Supply Chain[J]. Journal of Guangxi Normal University(Natural Science Edition), 2006, 24(4): 1-4 |
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| Authors: | LI Jian-li LIU Yong-chang FENG Jia-li |
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| Affiliation: | 1. College of Transportation,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 200135 ,China ; 2. Base of United Creation ,Shanghai Maritime University ,Shanghai 200135 ,China; 3. Research Center of Information Engineering and Technology,Shanghai Maritime University,Shanghai 200135,China |
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| Abstract: | Prediction accuracy is the key of in prevention of Bullwhip effect in supply chain.It's often difficult for the existing prediction methods to adapt to the variation of the historical datas of order volume,which causes prediction deviation.For a simple three-level supply chain comprising a single manufacturer,a single retailer and an end customer,this paper builds up a demand information forecasting model based on Attribute Theory Method,thus enhancing the prediction effect,which helps to optimize the decision process and prevent the Bullwhip effect in supply chain. |
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| Keywords: | demand information prediction Bullwhip effect attribute theory method supply chain |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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