首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
     

二项分布Bayes鉴定试验次数的选择与分析
引用本文:明志茂,张云安,陶俊勇,陈循. 二项分布Bayes鉴定试验次数的选择与分析[J]. 系统工程与电子技术, 2008, 30(12)
作者姓名:明志茂  张云安  陶俊勇  陈循
作者单位:1. 国防科技大学机电工程与自动化学院,湖南,长沙,410073
2. 国防科技大学机电工程与自动化学院,湖南,长沙,410073;马里兰大学机械工程系可靠性与风险性研究中心,美国,马里兰州,20742
基金项目:国家部委重点预研项目资助课题  
摘    要:讨论了二项分布的可靠性Bayes鉴定试验方案问题。在试验样本量一定的条件下,充分利用验前信息弥补现场试验信息的不足,从平均后验风险角度制定了成败型系统可靠性鉴定试验的Bayes方案。密切结合工程试验,从生产和使用双方的实际风险的角度,研究分析了Bayes可靠性鉴定试验与评估的联系与差异。最后,与传统的鉴定试验方案进行了分析比较,明确了Bayes方法的使用范围,对于工程试验方案的选择具有实际的指导意义。

关 键 词:Bayes方法  可靠性鉴定试验  生产方风险  使用方风险  二项分布

Analysis of test scheme for a Bayes plan of qualification Test in binomial case
MING Zhi-mao,ZHANG Yun-an,TAO Jun-yong,CHEN Xun. Analysis of test scheme for a Bayes plan of qualification Test in binomial case[J]. System Engineering and Electronics, 2008, 30(12)
Authors:MING Zhi-mao  ZHANG Yun-an  TAO Jun-yong  CHEN Xun
Affiliation:MING Zhi-mao1,ZHANG Yun-an1,TAO Jun-yong2,CHEN Xun1
Abstract:A Bayes plan of reliability qualification test is discussed in combination with the results obtained from the actual tests.On the premise that the quantity of the test is ensured,a scheme of reliability acceptance test in binomial case is formulated by using prior information efficiently.In view of the meaning of sampling risk actually concerned by users and producers in acceptance test,the difference and connection between the Bayes reliability qualification and assessment are analysed.The outcome of the project instance is compared with the traditional method according to the plan of reliability acceptance tests,the range of Bayes method is clear and definite,it has active guidance meaning and applied value to the engineering practice.
Keywords:Bayes method  reliability qualification test  producer's risk  consumer's risk  binomial distribution
本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录!
设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号