| 图书馆借阅量预测的灰色系统模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 孙宝. 图书馆借阅量预测的灰色系统模型[J]. 华北科技学院学报, 2008, 5(1): 122-124 |
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| 作者姓名： | 孙宝 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北科技学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 采集了1997年至2006年间九个学年度的借阅量，运用灰色系统模型的基本理论和后验差检验准则，预测2006年至2009年三个学年度的借阅量，从贯彻“以人为本”的育人理念，提高参考咨询服务水平的角度，探讨预测结果对新馆管理的启示。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色系统模型 借阅量 预测 新馆管理 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-7169(2008)01-0122-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2007-12-21 |
Grey System Mode Predicts Loan Quantity |
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| SUN Bao. Grey System Mode Predicts Loan Quantity[J]. Journal of North China Institute of Science and Technology, 2008, 5(1): 122-124 |
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| Authors: | SUN Bao |
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| Affiliation: | SUN Bao (North China Institute of Science and Technology,Yanjiao Beijing-East 101601 ) |
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| Abstract: | The thesis introduces the background of grey system mode, states the fundamental theory and the after test rule of grey system mode, and predicts the loan quantity of three school year from 2006 to 2009 on the base of the loan quantity of nine school year from 1997 to 2006. Finally, the author discusses the prediction conclusion＇ s enlightenment to the new library administration that new library should realize the educational idea that people is the base and enhance the reference service. |
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| Keywords: | grey system mode loan quantity prediction new library administration |
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