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An Information Diffusion Technique for Fire Risk Analysis
作者姓名:刘静  黄崇福
作者单位:Institute of Resources Technology & Engineering,College of Resources Science & Technology,Beijing Normal University 100875,Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster,Ministry of Education of China,Beijing Normal University 100875
基金项目:ProjectsupportedbytheScientificResearchFoundationfortheReturnedOverseasChineseScholars,StateEducationMinistryofChina,grantedtoProf.ChongfuHuang.
摘    要:IntroductionRiskreferstoadverseanduncertainoutcomes.Fireisdangeroustopeopleandproperty,anditoccursuncertainly.Ingeneral,fireriskismeasuredbytheprobabilityoffireoccurringandthemajortaskofriskanalysisistoestimatetheprobabilitydistributionaboutafirewithrespecttodifferentlevels.Theprobabilitydistributionmightofferabaseforriskmanagement,toreduceorcontrolfirerisk.Infireriskanalysis,therearetwooutstandingproblemsthatdeserveourattention.First,asystemwhereafiremayoccurisgenerallytoocomplextobecaptured…


An Information Diffusion Technique for Fire Risk Analysis
LIU JingInstitute of Resources Technology & Engineering,College of Resources Science & Technology,Beijing Normal University HUANG Chong-fuKey Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster,Ministry of Education of China,Beijing Normal University.An Information Diffusion Technique for Fire Risk Analysis[J].Journal of Donghua University,2004,21(3).
Authors:LIU JingInstitute of Resources Technology & Engineering  College of Resources Science & Technology  Beijing Normal University HUANG Chong-fuKey Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster  Ministry of Education of China  Beijing Normal University
Institution:1. nstitute of Resources Technology & Engineering, College of Resources Science & Technology, Beijing Normal University 100875
2. Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, Ministry of Education of China, Beijing Normal University 100875
Abstract:There are many kinds of fires occurring under different conditions. For a specific site, it is difficult to collect sufficient data for analyzing the fire risk. In this paper, we suggest an information diffusion technique to analyze fire risk with a small sample. The information distribution method is applied to change crisp observations into fuzzy sets, and then to effectively construct a fuzzy relationship between fire and surroundings. With the data of Shanghai in winter, we show how to use the technique to analyze the fire risk.
Keywords:Fire risk  Small sample  Information distribution  Fuzzy relationship
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