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博弈论在"非典"疫情扩散和防治中的应用
引用本文:陶凤翔,谭跃进. 博弈论在"非典"疫情扩散和防治中的应用[J]. 系统工程, 2004, 22(1): 100-103
作者姓名:陶凤翔  谭跃进
作者单位:国防科技大学,人文与管理学院,湖南,长沙,410073
摘    要:对“非典”疫情在华北地区爆发时医院之间的关系进行博弈分析;在政府与防治“非典”的单位之间建立了监督博弈模型,并依此确定监察机关对防治单位的监管力度和检查比例;分析研究政府与医院间的博弈关系,得到政府在疫情不同时期对医院的监管力度、惩罚尺度与发病率和医院利润的函数关系。

关 键 词:博弈论 非典型肺炎 中国 传染病防治 SARS
文章编号:1001-4098(2004)01-0100-04

An Application of Game Theory on the Pervasion and Prevention of SARS
TAO Feng-xiang,TAN Yue-jin. An Application of Game Theory on the Pervasion and Prevention of SARS[J]. Systems Engineering, 2004, 22(1): 100-103
Authors:TAO Feng-xiang  TAN Yue-jin
Abstract:Firstly the game relationship between hospitals in North China at the beginning of SARS is analyzed. Then this paper establishes a game model for supervision between the Government and the units that are responsible for preventing and cure during the process of fighting against SARS, and gives out the control strength of the Government and the proportions of the preventing-and-cure units that the supervising organs should inspect. The study shows the relations among the incidence of SARS, hospital profit, the control and the punish strength of the Government to the hospitals epidemic situations.
Keywords:Game Theory  Prevention and Cure of SARS  
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