基于动态温度调控的空调系统能耗预测

针对动态温度调控的空调系统能耗预测问题,设计了动态温度调控策略并通过EnergyPlus仿真得到空调系统逐时能耗数据集.在采用集成方法分析能耗的基础上,建立改进PSO算法优化BP神经网络(improved particle swarm optimization-back propagation neural netwo...

Energy Consumption Prediction for Air-conditioning System Based on Dynamic Temperature Control

To solve the problem of energy consumption prediction for air-conditioning systems implementing dynamic temperature control, we designed a dynamic temperature control strategy and obtained a dataset on the hourly energy consumption of the air-conditioning system through EnergyPlus simulation. An improved particle swarm optimization-back propagation neural network (IPSO-BPNN) prediction model was built on the basis of energy consumption analysis by an integrated method. Clustering, classification, and correlation analysis methods were integrated to mine the energy consumption pattern of the air-conditioning system and determine the input variables for the prediction model. A nonlinear change strategy was designed to adjust the inertia weight and acceleration factor of the PSO algorithm and thereby improve the training speed and optimization effect. An IPSO-BPNN model was constructed to predict the hourly energy consumption of the air-conditioning system. The results show that the convergence speed is significantly improved and that the average prediction accuracy is enhanced by 3.4%.