外贸出口发展预测方法及应用

Forecasting Methods and Application for Foreign Trade Exportation Development

Based on practical study,this paper establishes 4 kinds of forecasting models, namely Revised Gray Forecasting model, Mutivariate Regression Forcasting Model, Multinomial non-linear Regression Forecastiong model and cubic exponent smooth model. They can be applied to the expectancy forecasting for export development in light industry, chemical industry,medicine industry and nonferrous metal industry ets.in Hunan.It provides a scientific decision bases for the management department concerned as well.