| 基于专家方法的县级救灾物资库存研究:以滇西北地震灾害为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈浩,王瑛,王阳,孙浩荃.基于专家方法的县级救灾物资库存研究:以滇西北地震灾害为例[J].北京师范大学学报(自然科学版),2011,47(2):202-206. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈浩 王瑛 王阳 孙浩荃 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京师范大学环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室;教育部-民政部减灾与应急管理研究院;地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室(北京师范大学); |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金资助项目(40701062); 中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 以救灾储备系统建设相对完善的云南省为例,对近年地震频发的滇西北地区部分县进行实地调研,提出了基于专家方法的县级救灾物资库存量估算模式,即依托于当地灾害应急预案中的灾害等级,设计相应的量表,向专家组调查,对不同灾级下的物资需求量进行估算.运用该模式进行了大姚县救灾物资储备库存研究,得到救灾物资库存量需求图,在预知需救助人口数后,即可由图对应得到物资需求量,从而辅助当地救助物资储备量的决策.同时不同物资的库存量需求图呈现较大差异,单位救助能力强的救灾物资,需求量呈分级跳跃性,储备物资时,应充分考虑其特性,优化库存,合理储备.
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| 关 键 词： | 专家法 库存 县级救灾物资储备库 |
RESEARCH ON INVENTROTY OF DISASTER RELIEF MATERIALS IN COUNTY STORAGE BASED ON EXPERT METHOD: A CASE STUDY ON EARTHQUAKE DISASTER IN NORTHWEST YUNNAN |
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| CHEN Hao,WANG Ying,WANG Yang,SUN Haoquan.RESEARCH ON INVENTROTY OF DISASTER RELIEF MATERIALS IN COUNTY STORAGE BASED ON EXPERT METHOD: A CASE STUDY ON EARTHQUAKE DISASTER IN NORTHWEST YUNNAN[J].Journal of Beijing Normal University(Natural Science),2011,47(2):202-206. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Hao WANG Ying WANG Yang SUN Haoquan |
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| Institution: | CHEN Hao2,3) WANG Ying1,2,3) WANG Yang2,3) SUN Haoquan3)(1)State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology,2)Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster of Ministry of Education: Beijing Normal University,100875,Beijing,China,3)Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management,Ministry of Civil Affairs and Ministry of Education,China) |
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| Abstract: | County storage is a basic part of Chinese inventory system for disaster relief materials.This paper illustrates a new mode based on expert method to estimate county inventory: first,survey a group of inventory experts with questionnaires;second,based on survey result,estimate demands of local disaster relief materials at different damage levels.Northwest Yunnan suffers frequency earthquakes and owns a better local storage system for disaster relief materials.For Dayao county in Northwest Yunnan,inventory de... |
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| Keywords: | expert method inventory county storage of disaster relief materials |
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