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Meta-analysis and its application in global change research
作者姓名:LEI  XiangDong  PENG  ChangHui  TIAN  DaLun  SUN  JianFeng
作者单位:[1]Institute of Forest Resource Information Techniques, Chinese Academy of Forestry, Beijing 100091, China [2]ECO-MCS Lab, Institute of Environment Sciences, University of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM), Montreal H3C 3P8, Canada [3]Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China [4]College of Life Science and Technology, Central-South University of Forestry and Technology, Changsha 410004, China
基金项目:Supported by International Partnership Project "Human Activities and Ecosystem Changes", Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. CXTD-Z2005-1), Natural Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC), and China Scholarship Council (CSC).We would like to thank two anonymous referees for their constructive suggestions and Dr. lim Work and the editor for polishing English.
摘    要:Meta-analysis is a quantitative synthetic research method that statistically integrates results from in- dividual studies to find common trends and differences. With increasing concern over global change, meta-analysis has been rapidly adopted in global change research. Here, we introduce the methodolo- gies, advantages and disadvantages of meta-analysis, and review its application in global climate change research, including the responses of ecosystems to global warming and rising CO2 and O3 concentrations, the effects of land use and management on climate change and the effects of distur- bances on biogeochemistry cycles of ecosystem. Despite limitation and potential misapplication, meta-analysis has been demonstrated to be a much better tool than traditional narrative review in synthesizing results from multiple studies. Several methodological developments for research synthe- sis have not yet been widely used in global climate change researches such as cumulative meta-analysis and sensitivity analysis. It is necessary to update the results of meta-analysis on a given topic at regular intervals by including newly published studies. Emphasis should be put on multi-factor interaction and long-term experiments. There is great potential to apply meta-analysis to global climate change research in China because research and observation networks have been established (e.g. ChinaFlux and CERN), which create the need for combining these data and results to provide support for governments’ decision making on climate change. It is expected that meta-analysis will be widely adopted in future climate change research.

关 键 词:全球变暖  气候变化  元分析  生态系统  CO2浓度
收稿时间:19 July 2006
修稿时间:2006-07-192006-08-29

Meta-analysis and its application in global change research
LEI XiangDong PENG ChangHui TIAN DaLun SUN JianFeng.Meta-analysis and its application in global change research[J].Chinese Science Bulletin,2007,52(3):289-302.
Authors:Lei XiangDong  Peng ChangHui  Tian DaLun  Sun JianFeng
Abstract:Meta-analysis is a quantitative synthetic research method that statistically integrates results from individual studies to find common trends and differences. With increasing concern over global change, meta-analysis has been rapidly adopted in global change research. Here, we introduce the methodologies, advantages and disadvantages of meta-analysis, and review its application in global climate change research, including the responses of ecosystems to global warming and rising CO2 and O3 concentrations, the effects of land use and management on climate change and the effects of disturbances on biogeochemistry cycles of ecosystem. Despite limitation and potential misapplication, meta-analysis has been demonstrated to be a much better tool than traditional narrative review in synthesizing results from multiple studies. Several methodological developments for research synthesis have not yet been widely used in global climate change researches such as cumulative meta-analysis and sensitivity analysis. It is necessary to update the results of meta-analysis on a given topic at regular intervals by including newly published studies. Emphasis should be put on multi-factor interaction and long-term experiments. There is great potential to apply meta-analysis to global climate change research in China because research and observation networks have been established (e.g. ChinaFlux and CERN), which create the need for combining these data and results to provide support for governments’ decision making on climate change. It is expected that meta-analysis will be widely adopted in future climate change research. Supported by International Partnership Project “Human Activities and Ecosystem Changes”, Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. CXTD-Z2005-1), Natural Science and Engineering Research Council of Canada (NSERC), and China Scholarship Council (CSC)
Keywords:meta-analysis  global climate change
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