| 洗衣机发展预测模型及应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 归行茂,赵国清. 洗衣机发展预测模型及应用[J]. 上海理工大学学报, 1988, 0(1) |
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| 作者姓名： | 归行茂 赵国清 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海机械学院(归行茂)，哈尔滨科技大学(赵国清) |
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| 摘 要： | 我国洗衣机的生产发展十分迅速,从1978年的年产400台到1985年的883万台,八年间增长二千多倍,今后的生产发展前景如何?运用本文介绍的一种预测模型,可以求得公元2000年以前每年洗衣机需求量的预测值,并求得1983年8月至1991年1月为洗衣机生产发展的成熟时期,该模型亦可用于其它耐用消费品的生产发展预测,所得结果可供有关部门决策时参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 预测 寿命周期曲线 |
Market Forecasting Model of Washingmachines and Its Applications |
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| Gui Xingmao Zhao Guoqing. Market Forecasting Model of Washingmachines and Its Applications[J]. Journal of University of Shanghai For Science and Technology, 1988, 0(1) |
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| Authors: | Gui Xingmao Zhao Guoqing |
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| Affiliation: | Gui Xingmao Zhao Guoqing |
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| Abstract: | The development of washingmachines production has been so rapid that 8 830 000 sets were produced in 1985, 2000 times as many sets as produced in 1978. How about the future development? By our mathematics model, we can forecast the washingmachine demands in the future years and that the mature period of the life periodic curve for washingmachine products is from August, 1983 to January, 1991. The model can be also used to forecast the products of other durable consumer goods. |
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| Keywords: | Prediction Washingmachines Life periodic curve |
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