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Grey Dynamic Model,Forecasting & Comparison on the Development Trend in Track & Field Sports of Asia & the World
引用本文:XU Ming 36th Branch of No.1 Mail Box,Leshan City 614802,Sichuan ProvinceDENG GangForeign Languages Department of Leshan Teachers'''' College Leshan City 614000,Sichuan Province. Grey Dynamic Model,Forecasting & Comparison on the Development Trend in Track & Field Sports of Asia & the World[J]. 系统科学与系统工程学报(英文版), 1993, 0(2)
作者姓名:XU Ming 36th Branch of No.1 Mail Box  Leshan City 614802  Sichuan ProvinceDENG GangForeign Languages Department of Leshan Teachers'''' College Leshan City 614000  Sichuan Province
作者单位:XU Ming 36th Branch of No.1 Mail Box,Leshan City 614802,Sichuan ProvinceDENG GangForeign Languages Department of Leshan Teachers' College Leshan City 614000,Sichuan Province
基金项目:This work is supported by the National Natural Foundation of China.
摘    要:By establishing grey dynamic model and adopting its method,this essay makes forecastand comparison on the developing trend in trach and field sports of Asia and the world.To higherthe model's precise,some sequential data are processed by slide mean value,a Maclourin Exponsionis made to some exponents of less adaptable response function and acceptance or rejection is madeaccording to the fitting mode of the number series and their development.In the quatitative analysis,the first locus of the developing coefficient of the model in the sports field is the main basis.Theanalysis indicates that women's and men's field sports in Asia are developing respectively much faster,a little faster than that of the world,but men's track sports in Asia are progressing paralled to thatof the world, and women's track in Asia remains behind.


Grey Dynamic Model, Forecasting & Comparison on the Development Trend in Track & Field Sports of Asia & the World
XU Ming th Branch of No. Mail Box,Leshan City ,Sichuan ProvinceDENG GangForeign Languages. Grey Dynamic Model, Forecasting & Comparison on the Development Trend in Track & Field Sports of Asia & the World[J]. Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering, 1993, 0(2)
Authors:XU Ming th Branch of No. Mail Box  Leshan City   Sichuan ProvinceDENG GangForeign Languages
Affiliation:XU Ming 36th Branch of No.1 Mail Box,Leshan City 614802,Sichuan ProvinceDENG GangForeign Languages Department of Leshan Teachers' College Leshan City 614000,Sichuan Province
Abstract:By establishing grey dynamic model and adopting its method, this essay makes forecast and comparison on the developing trend in track and field sports of Asia and the world. To higher the model's precise, some sequential data are processed by slide mean value, a Maclourin Exponsion is made to some exponents of less adaptable response function and acceptance or rejection is made according to the fitting mode of the number series and their development. In the quatitative analysis, the first locus of the developing coefficient of the model in the sports field is the main basis. The analysis indicates that women's and men's field sports in Asia are developing respectively much faster, a little faster than that of the world, but men's track sports in Asia are progressing paralled to that of the world, and women's track in Asia remains behind.
Keywords:grey differential equation   grey dynamic model   sport-science   Olympic mean coefficient (OMC)   Asian Games.
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