| 基于GM(1,1)模型的山西省铁路货运量发展趋势分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 姜新丽.基于GM(1,1)模型的山西省铁路货运量发展趋势分析[J].科技情报开发与经济,2003,13(11):113-114. |
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| 作者姓名： | 姜新丽 |
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| 作者单位： | 太原铁路分局榆次站 |
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| 摘 要： | 在灰色预测理论的基础上，对山西省铁路货运量发展趋势进行了分析，预测结果表明，未来5年中，山西省全社会货运量和铁路货运量都呈上升的发展态势，且铁路货运量在全社会货运量中所占的比例也逐步上升至40％左右。
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| 关 键 词： | 铁路货运量 灰色系统理论 预测模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1005-6033(2003)11-0113-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003年8月29日 |
Analysis on the Developing Tendency of Volume of Rail Freight of Shanxi Province Based on GM（1，1）Model |
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| JIANG Xin,li.Analysis on the Developing Tendency of Volume of Rail Freight of Shanxi Province Based on GM（1，1）Model[J].Sci-Tech Information Development & Economy,2003,13(11):113-114. |
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| Authors: | JIANG Xin li |
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| Institution: | JIANG Xin li |
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| Abstract: | Based on the Grey Predicting Theory, this paper makes analysis on the developing tendency of volume of rail freight of Shanxi Province, the predicting results show that in the future five years both the whole- society volume of goods transported and the volume of rail freight of Shanxi Province present growing trend, and the proportion of the volume of rail freight in the whole- society volume of goods transported increase to about 40% . |
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| Keywords: | volume of rail freight grey system theory prediction model |
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