中国进口需求的决定因素分析

基于现代宏观经济理论与中国外贸管理体制的基本特点，分析了影响中国进口需求的宏观经济因素，建立了中国的进口需求模型．协整分析结果表明改革以来的进出口、总投资和相对价格之间存在唯一的长期稳定关系，进而建立用来描述中国进口需求的短期行为的误差修正模型，实证分析结果表明我们所建立的模型是成功的

An Analysis on the Determinants of Imports Demand in China

Based on modern economic theory and the characteristics of China's foreign trade management system, the paper analyzes the determinants of imports demand in China and builds the country’s imports demand model, examines the long-run relationship between China aggregate imports and the macroeconomic components of final expenditure, using the Johansen multivariate cointegration method. It is found that there exists unique long-run relationship among the variables included in the model over the period from 1...