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DSFT中因素投影拟合法的不精确原因分析
引用本文:崔铁军,马云东.DSFT中因素投影拟合法的不精确原因分析[J].系统工程理论与实践,2016,36(5):1340-1345.
作者姓名:崔铁军  马云东
作者单位:1. 辽宁工程技术大学 安全科学与工程学院, 阜新 123000;2. 矿山热动力灾害与防治教育部重点实验室, 阜新 123000;3. 大连交通大学 辽宁省隧道与地下结构工程技术研究中心, 大连 116028
基金项目:国家自然科学基金(61350003)
摘    要:为了解DSFT概念下的因素投影拟合法得到的元件故障概率空间分布与CSFT所得的相对准确的分布存在较大差别的原因,即分析原有因素投影拟合法的不精确原因,论文重新分析了该方法的计算过程.发现元件关于使用时间t和使用温度c的特征函数P_i~t(t)和P_i~c(c)的确定是不准确的.对这两个函数进行了重新构建,通过一系列推导得到了特征函数的新表达式.对比分析表明:原方法得到的函数线型与真实结果是形同的,只是缩放程度和平移量不同,所以仍有实际的借鉴意义.c_0和t_0作为自变量形成了一组函数族,但由于缺少约束条件仍无法具体确定数值.

关 键 词:安全系统工程  离散型空间故障树  因素投影拟合法  不精确原因分析  
收稿时间:2014-11-13

Inaccurate reason analysis of the factors projectionfitting method in DSFT
CUI Tiejun,MA Yundong.Inaccurate reason analysis of the factors projectionfitting method in DSFT[J].Systems Engineering —Theory & Practice,2016,36(5):1340-1345.
Authors:CUI Tiejun  MA Yundong
Institution:1. College of Safety Science and Engineering, Liaoning Technical University, Fuxin 123000, China;2. Key Laboratory of Mine Thermodynamic Disasters and Control of Ministry of Education, Fuxin 123000, China;3. Tunnel & Underground Structure Engineering Center of Liaoning, Dalian Jiaotong University, Dalian 116028, China
Abstract:In order to understand the bigger difference reason between the failure probability spatial distribution by factors projection fitting method in DSFT and relatively accurate result by CSFT, the calculating process of this method is analyzed again to understand the reasons of the imprecision. It is found that the determination of the characteristic functions Pit(t) and Pic(c) of working time t and working temperature c is not accurate. To rebuild these two functions, the new expressions of the characteristic functions were obtained through a series of derivation. Contrast analysis shows that the function linear of the method is the same as the real result, except degree of scaling and translation quantity, so there is still practical significance. c0 and t0 as independent variables to form a group of family function, but because of the lack of constraints, c0 and t0 are still unable to determine the specific numerical value.
Keywords:safety system engineering  discrete space fault tree  factors projection fitting method  inaccurate reason analysis
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