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拱顶罐罐顶腐蚀数据的统计分析
引用本文:刘雪云,王琳,钟诗胜,焦映厚. 拱顶罐罐顶腐蚀数据的统计分析[J]. 中国石油大学学报(自然科学版), 2012, 0(1): 150-153
作者姓名:刘雪云  王琳  钟诗胜  焦映厚
作者单位:哈尔滨工业大学机电工程学院
基金项目:国家高技术研究发展计划重点资助项目(2009AA043404)
摘    要:为加强储罐的管理,准确把握储顶的腐蚀状态,对罐顶的健康状况进行分析评价。采用广义极值分布作为罐顶腐蚀深度的统计模型,对腐蚀深度最大值进行极值统计,构造实际问题的统计分析模型,并用L-矩法估计模型的参数,分析罐顶腐蚀的统计规律。对胜利油田某联合站5个拱顶罐罐顶腐蚀数据进行统计分析。结果表明,罐顶腐蚀最大深度符合广义极值分布的Ⅲ型分布(Weibull分布),经柯尔莫哥洛夫检验,极值Ⅲ型分布能较好地拟合罐顶的腐蚀深度。

关 键 词:拱顶罐  腐蚀  数据统计  广义极值分布  L-矩法

Statistical analysis of corrosion data of vaulted tank roof
LIU Xue-yun,WANG Lin,ZHONG Shi-sheng,JIAO Ying-hou. Statistical analysis of corrosion data of vaulted tank roof[J]. Journal of China University of Petroleum (Edition of Natural Sciences), 2012, 0(1): 150-153
Authors:LIU Xue-yun  WANG Lin  ZHONG Shi-sheng  JIAO Ying-hou
Affiliation:(School of Mechatronics Engineering,Harbin Institute of Technology,Harbin 150001,China)
Abstract:The health status of the tank roof was evaluated to strengthen the management of storage tanks,to grasp the corrosion condition of the tank roof accurately.Generalized extreme value(GEV) distribution was adopted as statistical model for corrosion depth of the tank roof and the model for practical problems was built by statistic of the maximum.L-moments method was used for estimating the parameters of the model and the statistical law of the corrosion was analyzed.The results show that according to the calculation and analysis of the corrosion data of the five vaulted tank roofs from Shengli Oilfield,the maximum depth accords with the GEV distribution Ⅲ(Weibull distribution).The corrosion depth of tank roof fits the GEV distribution Ⅲ very well by Kolmogorov inspection.
Keywords:vaulted tank  corrosion  data statistics  generalized extreme value(GEV) distribution  L-moments
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