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汕头地区近五百年旱涝变化的初步探讨
引用本文:陈锐深 陈文刁. 汕头地区近五百年旱涝变化的初步探讨[J]. 汕头大学学报(自然科学版), 1992, 7(1): 56-63
作者姓名:陈锐深 陈文刁
摘    要:本文通过对汕头地区近五百年旱涝概率的统计分析,利用Blackman-Tukey方法计算功率谱.用方差分析法作预报,预测未来20年的旱涝变化趋势.

关 键 词:十年减灾  旱涝概率  功率谱  周期  方差分析  统计预报

A Preliminary Analysis of the Changes of Drought and Waterlogging in Shantou Area over the Last 500 Years
Chen Ruishen Chen Wendiao. A Preliminary Analysis of the Changes of Drought and Waterlogging in Shantou Area over the Last 500 Years[J]. Journal of Shantou University(Natural Science Edition), 1992, 7(1): 56-63
Authors:Chen Ruishen Chen Wendiao
Affiliation:Chen Ruishen Chen Wendiao
Abstract:This paper makes a statistical analysis of the drought and waterlogging index, cal- culates its power spectrum by means of Blackman—Tukey method, and forecasts the tendency of the changes of the drought and waterlogging in the coming 20 years through variance analysis.
Keywords:A decade to reduce disaster   probability of drought and waterlogging   power spectrum   variance analysis   period   statistical forecast
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