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福州义序机场降雹及其预报
引用本文:何纪武.福州义序机场降雹及其预报[J].福州大学学报(自然科学版),2003,31(3):313-316.
作者姓名:何纪武
作者单位:民航福州空管站,福建,福州,350001
摘    要:准确预报降雹是航空气象保障的重点和难点 .为提高降雹预报准确率 ,确保飞行安全 ,统计分析了1982 - 1995年民航福州义序机场气象资料 ,归纳机场降雹的天气特征 .依据天气学原理确定预报因子 ,利用逐步消空法得出冰雹预报因子集合 .经 1996 - 1997年的验证预报 ,效果良好.

关 键 词:降雹  预报  逐步消空法  机场  福州  义序
文章编号:1000-2243(2003)03-0313-04
修稿时间:2002年12月24

Fuzhou Yixu aerodrome falling hail and its prediction
HE Ji-wu.Fuzhou Yixu aerodrome falling hail and its prediction[J].Journal of Fuzhou University(Natural Science Edition),2003,31(3):313-316.
Authors:HE Ji-wu
Institution:HE Ji-wu (Civil Aviation Fuzhou Air Traffic Administration Station, Fuzhou, Fujian 350001, China)
Abstract:To accurately predict falling hail is the emphasis and difficulty of aviation weather safeguard. The weather information of civil aviation Fuzhou Yixu aerodrome in the year of 1982-1995 was statistically analyzed, and the characteristics of the falling hail were induced. Based on the principle of synoptic meteorology, the prediction factor was determined. The hail prediction factor collection was gained by the stepwise decreasing FAR method, and it was tested well by the prediction in the year of 1996-1997.
Keywords:falling hail  prediction  stepwise decreasing FAR method  aerodrome  Fuzhou  Yixu  
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