质量生存决策的重演化分析和策略探讨

基于仿真实例对质量生存决策进行了重演化分析.通过分析发现,由于期望的加入,系统的生存演化和策略都发生了变化,质量生存决策重演化比生存决策重演化更加稳定、策略更加丰富、更加符合实际的决策情况.重演化分析的结构表明:人们在主观上希望经济稳步发展可能是客观上造成经济非正常波动的原因.

Heavy Evolution and Strategy of Quality Viable Decision

Heavy evolution is a kind of evolution of complex system that follows the inertia principle. The heavy evolution of quality viable decision is analyzed with a series of simulation samples. The quality viable decision is different from the viable decision in evolution and strategy for adding an expectation restriction. The former has more strategies, be more stabile in evolution, and hence be better in coinciding with the decision-making fact. Finally, it is also found that the expectation of a sustained economic growth might cause an unexpected economic fluctuation.