模糊综合评价法在生态安全预警评价中的应用——以河北省围场县为例 |
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引用本文: | 沈洪艳,刘军伟,曹志会,赵 月,王 冰. 模糊综合评价法在生态安全预警评价中的应用——以河北省围场县为例[J]. 河北科技大学学报, 2015, 36(6): 644-651 |
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作者姓名: | 沈洪艳 刘军伟 曹志会 赵 月 王 冰 |
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作者单位: | ;1.河北科技大学环境科学与工程学院;2.河北省药用分子化学重点实验室 |
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基金项目: | 国家自然科学基金(41373096);国家环保部公益课题(201509041-05);河北省自然科学基金(B2014208068);河北省药用分子化学实验室开放基金;河北省环保厅公益课题;河北省重点学科建设基金 |
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摘 要: | 基于2003-2012年围场县的经济、水环境、土地资源、自然资源等相关数据,运用P-S-R模型从压力、状态、响应3方面构建围场县生态安全预警指标体系,采用模糊评价法并结合预警指数和警度标准对2003-2012年围场县生态安全警情状况进行分析。结果表明,2003-2012年围场县生态安全预警指数总体上呈波动上升态势,预警指数由2003年的5.278 1上升到2012年的6.809 1,处于"轻警"状态,趋于预警状态。就压力、状态、响应各子系统而言,2003-2012年围场县生态安全的压力指标、状态指标和响应指标的预警指数呈上升趋势,发展趋势良好。
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关 键 词: | 环境生态学 模糊综合评价法 生态安全预警 围场县 P-S-R模型 预警指数 警度标准 |
收稿时间: | 2014-12-23 |
修稿时间: | 2015-05-07 |
Application of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to early-warning assessment of ecological security: A case study in Weichang |
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Abstract: | Based on the data from 2003 to 2012 related to economy, water environment, land and natural resources of Weichang County, pressure-state-response model is used to construct an ecological security early-warning indicator system of Weichang County from three aspects-pressure, state and response. Fuzzy evaluation method combined with early-warning index and warning degree standard are applied to analyze the ecological security alarm conditions of Weichang County from 2003 to 2012. The results show that the ecological security warning index of Weichang County generally has a fluctuating upward trend from 2003 to 2012, and the value rises from 5.278 1 in 2003 to 6.809 1 in 2012, which means the county is in the "light warning" state, tending to the warning state. In terms of pressure, state, response subsystems, the early-warning index of pressure, state and response is on the rise from 2003 to 2012, which indicates a good development trend. |
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Keywords: | environmental ecology fuzzy comprehensive evaluation early-warning assessment of ecological security Weichang County pressure-state-response model(P-S-R model) early-warning index warning degree standard |
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