| 流水施工风险分析及风险应对 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨志勇,王卓甫,欧阳红祥,杨高升,张化强. 流水施工风险分析及风险应对[J]. 河海大学学报(自然科学版), 2004, 32(4): 467-469 |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨志勇 王卓甫 欧阳红祥 杨高升 张化强 |
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| 作者单位： | 河海大学商学院,江苏,南京,210098;河海大学商学院,江苏,南京,210098;河海大学商学院,江苏,南京,210098;河海大学商学院,江苏,南京,210098;河海大学商学院,江苏,南京,210098 |
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| 摘 要： | 流水施工高度均衡连续工作模式在带来良好效益的同时也产生了风险，其工作工期的波动会给总工期及均衡施工造成较大影响．通过蒙特卡罗(MC)模拟法分析流水施工过程中存在的几类重要风险，如“逆向选择”、“学生综合症”等对流水施工总工期的影响，提出了相应的风险应对措施并分析了这些措施的效果．
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| 关 键 词： | 流水施工 风险分析 风险应对 风险模拟 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-1980(2004)04-0467-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-11-11 |
Risk analysis and response for flow construction |
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| YANG Zhi-yong,WANG Zhuo-fu,OUYANG Hong-xiang,YANG Gao-sheng,ZHANG Hua-qiang. Risk analysis and response for flow construction[J]. Journal of Hohai University (Natural Sciences ), 2004, 32(4): 467-469 |
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| Authors: | YANG Zhi-yong WANG Zhuo-fu OUYANG Hong-xiang YANG Gao-sheng ZHANG Hua-qiang |
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| Abstract: | Although the highly balanced continuous working mode of flow construction generates great benefits, it also brings about different kinds of risks. The fluctuation of working periods may result in great influences on the total construction period and balanced construction. Several kinds of important risks in flow construction were analyzed based on the MC simulation method, including the influences of reverse selection and student's syndrome. Some measures for risk response were proposed, and their effects were analyzed. |
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| Keywords: | flow construction risk analysis risk response risk simulation |
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